Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001801 0.001881 0.001964 0.002057 0.002159 0.002267 0.002392
2025-06-15 0.001688 0.001803 0.001929 0.002076 0.002247 0.002440 0.002678
2025-06-22 0.001583 0.001718 0.001870 0.002056 0.002281 0.002548 0.002898
2025-06-29 0.001494 0.001642 0.001811 0.002025 0.002292 0.002623 0.003080
2025-07-06 0.001431 0.001588 0.001773 0.002011 0.002318 0.002715 0.003291
2025-07-13 0.001348 0.001505 0.001692 0.001937 0.002259 0.002686 0.003328
2025-07-20 0.001307 0.001470 0.001667 0.001930 0.002284 0.002769 0.003534
2025-07-27 0.001280 0.001450 0.001659 0.001943 0.002336 0.002892 0.003818
2025-08-03 0.001244 0.001417 0.001632 0.001929 0.002347 0.002957 0.004016
2025-08-10 0.001224 0.001403 0.001628 0.001944 0.002401 0.003089 0.004352
2025-08-17 0.001195 0.001377 0.001607 0.001933 0.002414 0.003159 0.004588
2025-08-24 0.001165 0.001347 0.001579 0.001913 0.002412 0.003201 0.004778
2025-08-31 0.001155 0.001343 0.001587 0.001944 0.002491 0.003391 0.005327
2025-09-07 0.001140 0.001332 0.001584 0.001958 0.002546 0.003548 0.005856
2025-09-14 0.001113 0.001306 0.001559 0.001940 0.002545 0.003604 0.006164
2025-09-21 0.001086 0.001276 0.001529 0.001911 0.002526 0.003622 0.006384
2025-09-28 0.001065 0.001256 0.001510 0.001899 0.002533 0.003691 0.006768
2025-10-05 0.001028 0.001212 0.001457 0.001832 0.002444 0.003562 0.006533
2025-10-12 0.001011 0.001196 0.001444 0.001825 0.002458 0.003639 0.006959
2025-10-19 0.001002 0.001189 0.001442 0.001837 0.002503 0.003789 0.007695
2025-10-26 0.000985 0.001172 0.001426 0.001824 0.002504 0.003844 0.008135
2025-11-02 0.000977 0.001167 0.001426 0.001838 0.002554 0.004014 0.009141
2025-11-09 0.000963 0.001152 0.001413 0.001829 0.002560 0.004084 0.009785